What can reasonably support a 2028 target?
Prioritize options whose utility can substantiate the required phases and whose outstanding work can be scheduled. Compare a smaller first phase or a different ramp with the full-load case. Treat missing study results, uncommitted upgrades, or an unpermitted generation plan as open dependencies.
Use official guidance within its actual scope| Reference | Supported planning context | Limit |
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| Dominion’s current Virginia data-center guidance | Below 50 MW, projects can frequently use existing distribution infrastructure and typically require 1–2 years from initial planning conversations. | Utility-specific guidance, not a national estimate or assurance that any proposed site can serve by 2028. |
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| Dominion guidance for loads above 50 MW | Transmission extensions and a new substation will most likely be required. | No universal completion interval is supplied. Obtain the actual utility plan; confirm treatment of a request at the boundary. |
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| ERCOT’s September 24, 2026 notice | Verification also applied to specified substantiated data-center loads of at least 25 MW but below 75 MW. | Being below 75 MW does not establish exemption from every requirement. The notice’s submission dates are historical. |
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A forecast year, modeled study case, or advertised capacity number is not an allocation of power to a particular buyer. Confirm that the written service evidence fits the requested facility demand and dates.